What a week or so it’s been. First the shocking dismissal of Nani and the heartache of breaking down against a Mourihno inspired Real Madrid, then the agonisingly painful second half capitulation versus Chelsea which now means Easter Monday will be spent beating them rather than getting some much needed rest for the boys, then Carrickboy goes and wins at 50/1 during the Cheltenham Festival! I hope you were all on it like faithful Reds……I know I wasn’t unfortunately!
Normal business I hope will resume tomorrow and United should have a chance to blow any lingering memories of their most recent two games with a juggernaut-like rollering of relegation threatened Reading who make the trip to Old Trafford without the man who got them into the top flight just 9 months ago and won January’s Manager of the Month. Some decisions are just too bizarre for words.
Where’s the value in the betting for tomorrow? Let’s take a look……and help ourselves to a free bet while we’re at it.
United’s record against the teams in the bottom half of the Premier League is predictably excellent. The Red Devils have won 14 of the 15 games against such opposition, scoring 44 goals and looking their usual ruthless best. At home the record is even better, winning all eight of their games, scoring 25 goals.
Just as predictably, Reading have struggled against the better sides, losing nine of their 15 games against teams in the top half, conceding 35 goals. Six of their seven away fixtures have also ended in defeat.
And with morale low and United keen to cement their lead at the top, I see a big win similar to their 4-0 victory over Norwich in their last league outing. That was the fourth time this season Ferguson’s side have won by three or more, and with Reading on the end of four such losses, the evens it happens again looks like the play to me although the Evens (2.00) on offer with bwin seem a tad skinny.
I can certainly see United getting off to a positive start and taking an early lead they never sacrifice. Therefore the 1.45 available for United to be winning at Halftime and at Fulltime seems a knocking bet but again a shade on the mean side.
With the thinking that we’ll take an early lead and push on through to fulltime, perhaps the 1.95 on United scoring in both halves is a good shout? In my opinion that seems like a knocking bet and should be a certain player to double your money (almost).
Looking beyond United winning it’s hard to find any value in the GoalScorers market either such is the weight of expectation on United’s shoulder to stea-roller their struggling opponents. To score ‘Anytime’ all four of United’s forwards are ‘odds-on’! Even Vidic is only 6.50 whereas normally you’d be expecting somewhere closer to 14/1 for him and his fellow defenders.
So, unless you fancy the interest bets like a – Kagawa First Goalscorer: Result 4-0 United – scorecast then I reckon you’re best just settling on doubling your money on United scoring in both halves at 1.95.
Be lucky. Bwin
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